$3B in Bitcoin Options expire today – Will it trigger more crypto carnage?

  • $ 3.04 billion in BTC options run with a maximum pain price of $ 107k and a put/call ratio of 0.95.
  • Spot and ETF intake amounted to more than $ 1 billion in three days, but did not succeed in causing a bullish reversal.

Bitcoin [BTC] Spentrowed above $ 100,000 this month and won only 1.29%. With billions on the end of options, the calmness can end soon.

Ambcrypto analysis indicates that although a large decrease is more likely, some investors try to resist downward pressure.

Max Pain for $ 107k – but BTC is already under

About $ 3.04 billion in BTC options will end today, with a well/call ratio of 0.95 and a maximum pain price of $ 107,000.

A put-call ratio under 1, as in this case, suggests that more traders buy buy (call) positions in the market.

Bitcoin Options graph. Bitcoin Options graph.

Source: Deribit

However, the price of Bitcoin was exchanged far below this maximum pain level at $ 104,682, creating a considerable gap.

This means that traders who dominate a large part of the fictional value will probably register large losses, while short sellers have a profit.

Such a scenario forces traders to open more short positions to cover themselves against losses, while others can choose to make a profit.

Ambcrypto analysis confirms that this trend has already begun. Options Open Interest (OI) has risen considerably in the last 24 hours.

OI has risen by 3.88% to $ 46.06 billion, indicating that more contracts are being opened. At the same time, the trade volume has risen to $ 7.06 billion – an increase of 107.64%.

Bitcoin -Defined card details. Bitcoin -Defined card details.

Source: Coinglass

This increase in both statistics, amid a falling price and $ 3.04 billion in contracts that are about to expire, suggests that more traders tend to sell.

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$ 422 million liquidated!

The Bearish sentiment is also clear in the Futuresmarkt, which reflects the option market to a certain extent. In this case the number of sellers has increased.

Liquidation data was one -sided. Longs took a hit of $ 422.89 million more than 24 hours, while Shorts lost only $ 28.63 million.

Bitcoin Liquidation graph. Bitcoin Liquidation graph.

Source: Coinglass

Moreover, the long/short ratio was 0.929 – immediately lower than 1, which confirmed that sellers had control.

Can traditional and spot investors save Bitcoin?

Interesting is that Spot investors do not collapse. $ 150.70 million in BTC flowing In exchanges for 24 hours, while weekly accumulation $ 651 million exceeded.

Bitcoin ETF Exchange Netflow graph. Bitcoin ETF Exchange Netflow graph.

Source: Coinglass

Traditional investors also make movements.

At the time of writing, $ 86 million was purchased from Bitcoin in various Bitcoin Spot ETFs, which contributed to a cumulative $ 982 million in purchases in the past three days.

These large-scale buy-ins usually affect market sentiment positively and can ultimately lead to an offer.

A significant reversal of the market – especially a recovery of $ 3,000 in Bitcoin’s price – seems unlikely before the options expire.

If this reversal does not occur, Bitcoin will probably slide even lower.

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Credit : ambcrypto.com