- Trump, once a launch of the head, is now in turbulent waters.
- Is it the first tear of Thunder for a steeper fall?
The official Trump [TRUMP] Memecoin, launched on January 17, 2025, recently experienced a significant token disposal event.
On April 18, the market issued 40 million Trump -Tokens, with a value of around $ 300 million.
These tokens account for 20% of the current circulating food and 4% of the total supply, which will reach 1 billion tokens in the coming three years.
Structurally, however, Trump has shown a serious price degradation, with -88% of his $ 74.59 ATH.
With weakening price structure and increasing sales of sales side, this unlocking represents a “risky” liquidity event or a calculated bet in a volatile market?
Trump -Tokenomics under control
The Trump token Has a cap of 1 billion tokens, set to unlock the next three years, which determines a ceiling of a hard delivery.
Currently, 20% of the total supply, or around 200 million tokens, is in circulation, with the remaining tokens gradually unlocking.
As soon as the new tokens enter the circulation, they will contribute to the dilution of the market, so that the price exerts downward pressure, especially if holders choose to sell immediately after unlocking.
Despite the inflatory effects and the pressure on the supply side, the basic principles of Trump have shown remarkable resilience, as illustrated by the graph below.
Source: Glassnode
Although Token has lost the initial “hype” after the launch, the StH Net van Trump did not enter no realized profit/loss (NUPL) did not enter. Instead, he maintained a bullish bias.
This suggests that holders still take positions in the short term (STHs), which shows optimism and avoiding the realization of losses.
In conclusion, the price correction of 88% of Trump can lead to volatility after the release of 40 million tokens.
However, the strong basic principles suggest that his tokenomica continues to position it as a compelling bullish gamble.
Main levels to view
In coordination with the Bullish Thesis of Ambcrypto, Trump showed a robust 8% Intraday rally in the immediate aftermath of the 40 million token discharge.
That is why the psychological level of $ 8 recovers in the midst of a 68% increase in a 24-hour trade volume.
This price response reflects the bullish absorption of the unlocking event, indicating that market participants can have the leading dilution at the front.
However, it remains unclear whether this movement is a structural reversal or only a reflexive strout within a wider downward trend.
In other words, has Trump established a definitive cyclical floor, or is this an interim-liquidity-driven rally for average reversal?
The graph below can offer that answer.
Source: Glassnode
On the one hand, the conviction of a strong holder continues to defend the support level of $ 7, preventing a breakdown. On the other hand, Weak capital inflow Close Trump’s outbreak potential.
Network growth tricks reflect this stagnation, with new wallet addresses that fall sharply to only 1,476 – a stark contrast with the number of 700,000 wallets observed during the Bullish expansion phase.
In conclusion, the recent meeting of Trump seems to be a reflexive leap, powered by speculative positioning around the token disconnecting.
Without renewed inflow or a revival of network activity, it remains actively vulnerable to extensive consolidation.
Credit : ambcrypto.com
